今天的经济复苏形势 10/07/2008 16:34
This is the bottom, within 3% margin.
how do u know?

xiaoqiang :
This is the bottom, within 3% margin.
pompano at 10/07/2008 16:35 快速引用
小强都复苏好几次了,of course he knows one when he sees one 狂笑

pompano :
how do u know?

xiaoqiang :
This is the bottom, within 3% margin.
开会 at 10/07/2008 16:36 快速引用
开会 :
小强都复苏好几次了,of course he knows one when he sees one 狂笑

pompano :
how do u know?

xiaoqiang :
This is the bottom, within 3% margin.


狂笑 狂笑 狂笑
元宝 at 10/07/2008 16:38 快速引用
No. This is 今年的第二次。


开会 :
小强都复苏好几次了,of course he knows one when he sees one 狂笑

pompano :
how do u know?

xiaoqiang :
This is the bottom, within 3% margin.
xiaoqiang at 10/07/2008 16:44 快速引用
for stock, uptrend is called after it's formed.

for economy, the 2nd quater was positive, so the economic recession is either just started or not even started yet.
genie at 10/07/2008 16:48 快速引用
The trend has been established for at least two quarters, based on the strength of the USD. That's a confident vote from the rest of the world.

Ben's action today has a very fundamental impact: He is taking away a very stable piece of business from the banks that are hoarding money and causing the panic. Once enough business is taken away, those who do not do their job will be let go.

If you remove the irresponsible bankers (5 percent of GDP) and the irresponsible home owners (5% of the overall loan), the economy is indeed very strong. Ben is taking the first step today to wipe out those who should be wiped out in the first place.


genie :
for stock, uptrend is called after it's formed.

for economy, the 2nd quater was positive, so the economic recession is either just started or not even started yet.
xiaoqiang at 10/07/2008 16:54 快速引用
father of euro said yesterday that dallor was artificially low (against euro) before, that's why dallar is going up.

recession is ahead anyway.
xiaoqiang :
The trend has been established for at least two quarters, based on the strength of the USD. That's a confident vote from the rest of the world.

Ben's action today has a very fundamental impact: He is taking away a very stable piece of business from the banks that are hoarding money and causing the panic. Once enough business is taken away, those who do not do their job will be let go.

If you remove the irresponsible bankers (5 percent of GDP) and the irresponsible home owners (5% of the overall loan), the economy is indeed very strong. Ben is taking the first step today to wipe out those who should be wiped out in the first place.


genie :
for stock, uptrend is called after it's formed.

for economy, the 2nd quater was positive, so the economic recession is either just started or not even started yet.
genie at 10/07/2008 17:21 快速引用
I think euro is a failure.

Fundamentally, if we assume Europeans are as smart or as foolish as the Americans (I think this is a reasonable assumption), which means the real productivity is comparable, but because Europeans work less, in the game of fundamentals, US will win.


Now the smoke and mirrors on the Street of Flower are about to be wiped out, the economy is moving closer to the fundamental game, and in that kind of game, hard-working innovative people will prevail.


Another good telling sign today is that the reversal of financial and "the rest of the economy" has already started. This is a real surprise to me. I thought such change will only come by after the election. Apparently the market is more sensitive than I thought.
xiaoqiang at 10/07/2008 17:30 快速引用
Don't get me wrong though.

There will be more layoffs, and ugly quarterly result and forecast are coming. For a lot of folks the worst has not come yet.


Many more people will say the end of the world is approaching and the we will fall back to the 1930, if not to the stone age. They will use those rhetoric to justify their tax hype or inflationary monetary policy. But they will be defeated by the market.
xiaoqiang at 10/07/2008 17:36 快速引用
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