Sell 10/21/2011 10:48
Time to sell.

Christmas crash arrives ahead of schedule. 祝你好运
割肉也卖?
Quincy08 at 10/21/2011 11:21 快速引用
No short. Just stay in USD. Safest asset right now.

Quincy08 :
割肉也卖?
xiaoqiang at 10/21/2011 11:38 快速引用
xiaoqiang :
Time to sell.

Christmas crash arrives ahead of schedule. 祝你好运


你不是说要涨到13500吗?我就坚决没动。
wildcrane at 10/21/2011 12:02 快速引用
401 K 当然不用动。

这不是因为最近的革命形势有点儿乱吗。Mohamed A. El-Erian 说过, destination 和 journey 是两码事。年底 13500,但如果你知道这个月下个月可能会先到9000,有些 plan 就应该调整一下了。

wildcrane :
xiaoqiang :
Time to sell.

Christmas crash arrives ahead of schedule. 祝你好运


你不是说要涨到13500吗?我就坚决没动。
xiaoqiang at 10/21/2011 12:25 快速引用
记录一下今天的思路,等到年底看看对不对。

欧洲是乱七八糟,法德疯会不会有什么实质的结论。希腊破产已成定局。然后大西洋两岸的各大银行即将面临再次的 fail, but too big.

Bankers 和德国人民在玩 who is chicken 的游戏。收场不会很好。

中国通胀的压力已经很大,国内的茅盾很复杂,不大可能再出手救欧洲。中美贸易战已经拉开帷幕。

O 对花儿街抗议活动的支持大概会在一个月内 back fire。因为 O 其实是花儿街的最大傀儡。抗议的人虽然乱,但不傻,看透 O 只是个时间问题。到时候社会治安要出问题。

Big Ben is still a wild card。


所以说现在的市场,是一个在 Big Ben The Beard Printer 和 economic reality 之间的 tug war。我相信 Big Ben 会在 short term prevail, 但是他需要一个 market crash 来 justify 他的 money printing。


明年的 big crash 是再所难免了。O is desperate。
xiaoqiang at 10/21/2011 12:39 快速引用
有没有晚上去参加波士顿城里街上camping的?我那天经过的时候,看着挺好玩的。
了因 at 10/21/2011 16:01 快速引用
了因 :
有没有晚上去参加波士顿城里街上camping的?我那天经过的时候,看着挺好玩的。


前两周去Chinatown看见了
有个人举了个牌子写着"I will not leave until you give me a job"
他当政府是他妈啊
Alabama很缺干活的人, 为啥不去?
tutu at 10/21/2011 16:07 快速引用
不敢去。听说示威的人都是民主党。演变成英国那种骚乱就太危险了。而且一旦开始反政府了,O不会手软的。

了因 :
有没有晚上去参加波士顿城里街上camping的?我那天经过的时候,看着挺好玩的。
xiaoqiang at 10/21/2011 16:16 快速引用
1000 points drop 可能就在下周了。

这个 market 太 scary 了。
xiaoqiang at 10/21/2011 16:19 快速引用
Almost there.
xiaoqiang at 10/24/2011 14:45 快速引用
Crash has just started. 祝你好运

Tomorrow will be very interesting.

This is a very memorable month.
xiaoqiang at 10/25/2011 16:37 快速引用
The roller-coaster ride has started. 祝你好运
xiaoqiang at 10/26/2011 09:48 快速引用
xiaoqiang :
The roller-coaster ride has started. 祝你好运


you know my city group is not 401.

and unfortunately, i got another one stock - it was up two months ago and fell between 6-8 $ each share. i am wondering whether i should sell them and accept loss.
wildcrane at 10/26/2011 11:45 快速引用
I have no idea. I am not qualified to be an adviser for real.

Bill Gross allegedly once said, sometimes people should not worry about the return on their money, but the return of their money.

I think this is one of those times.


(But on the other hand, I am pessimistic about the market most of the time ever since O was about to take the office, so maybe I am wrong again.)

wildcrane :
xiaoqiang :
The roller-coaster ride has started. 祝你好运


you know my city group is not 401.

and unfortunately, i got another one stock - it was up two months ago and fell between 6-8 $ each share. i am wondering whether i should sell them and accept loss.
xiaoqiang at 10/26/2011 11:54 快速引用
One more sell opportunity. 祝你好运
xiaoqiang at 10/26/2011 15:33 快速引用
xiaoqiang :
One more sell opportunity. 祝你好运


the one i chose is down today.
wildcrane at 10/26/2011 16:34 快速引用
Time to take some short position.

The market has gone wild. 祝你好运
xiaoqiang at 10/27/2011 10:37 快速引用
Why up today so much?
wildcrane at 10/27/2011 11:25 快速引用
Euphoria attack from Europe.

Tomorrow will be the second most important day for trading stock this year. (The most important one will be the day when this crash is over and the Dow rides back to 13500 by year end.)


wildcrane :
Why up today so much?
xiaoqiang at 10/27/2011 11:42 快速引用
We can mark it again. Dow 12,175.40 now.
你年底13500的目标还算不算数? confused

[quote="xiaoqiang"]Time to take some short position.

The market has gone wild. 祝你好运[/ quote]
MorningMoon at 10/27/2011 12:41 快速引用
[quote="MorningMoon"]We can mark it again. Dow 12,175.40 now.
你年底13500的目标还算不算数? confused

xiaoqiang :
Time to take some short position.

The market has gone wild. 祝你好运[/ quote]


你的问题好奇怪。这市场谁知道阿?上帝和鬼和人都没法预测,要是他说了算数的话,就好了。 smile
wildcrane at 10/27/2011 12:44 快速引用
我看小强喜欢预测,帮他作个记号看看准确性如何,所以问一下预测的目标年底是涨还是跌。

[quote="wildcrane"]
MorningMoon :
We can mark it again. Dow 12,175.40 now.
你年底13500的目标还算不算数? confused

xiaoqiang :
Time to take some short position.

The market has gone wild. 祝你好运[/ quote]


你的问题好奇怪。这市场谁知道阿?上帝和鬼和人都没法预测,要是他说了算数的话,就好了。 smile
MorningMoon at 10/27/2011 12:52 快速引用
Yes I like to play this game.

13500 is the year end target. Before that, there will be a crash. So I am predicting a V-shape trend.

[quote="MorningMoon"]我看小强喜欢预测,帮他作个记号看看准确性如何,所以问一下预测的目标年底是涨还是跌。

wildcrane :
MorningMoon :
We can mark it again. Dow 12,175.40 now.
你年底13500的目标还算不算数? confused

xiaoqiang :
Time to take some short position.

The market has gone wild. 祝你好运[/ quote]


你的问题好奇怪。这市场谁知道阿?上帝和鬼和人都没法预测,要是他说了算数的话,就好了。 smile
xiaoqiang at 10/27/2011 13:33 快速引用
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