今年和2008可能有一拼。
interest rate 1/17/2012 13:10
今天 rate 又降了。
今年和2008可能有一拼。
今年和2008可能有一拼。
| xiaoqiang : |
| 今天 rate 又降了。
今年和2008可能有一拼。 |
降到多少了？
我担心的，就是那房市。一直靠低利息撑着，不是个最终能解决问题的办法。
15年的昨天大概是3.15%。今天稍微涨回来一点儿。
现在 Big Ben 是能混一天算一天。他回去当教授的事应该已经联系好了。
现在 Big Ben 是能混一天算一天。他回去当教授的事应该已经联系好了。
| 了因 : | ||
降到多少了？ 我担心的，就是那房市。一直靠低利息撑着，不是个最终能解决问题的办法。 |
| xiaoqiang : | ||||
| 15年的昨天大概是3.15%。今天稍微涨回来一点儿。
现在 Big Ben 是能混一天算一天。他回去当教授的事应该已经联系好了。
|
退出以后就可以大捞其钱了，美国的官员们都这样。
Today's Dow closing may be the top of this year.
Inflation (run-away interest rate) + market crash = Jimmy Carter era once more. This highly "unlikely" event looks more and more likely to happen this year.
Inflation (run-away interest rate) + market crash = Jimmy Carter era once more. This highly "unlikely" event looks more and more likely to happen this year.
| 了因 : | ||
降到多少了？ 我担心的，就是那房市。一直靠低利息撑着，不是个最终能解决问题的办法。 |
中国人都开始进来买了，还担心啥？一旦开涨后看准机会出手就可以了，莫待无花空折枝
Big Ben just predicted two more years of deep recession today. "Interest rate at 0% until late 2014."
There are only two ways to keep interest rate at 0%
- By printing more money
- By suffering a deeper recession.
Now pick your poison, or choose a combo of the two items with -10% discount of your net worth.
There are only two ways to keep interest rate at 0%
- By printing more money
- By suffering a deeper recession.
Now pick your poison, or choose a combo of the two items with -10% discount of your net worth.
You didn't count in the deflation....
| xiaoqiang : |
| Big Ben just predicted two more years of deep recession today. "Interest rate at 0% until late 2014."
There are only two ways to keep interest rate at 0% - By printing more money - By suffering a deeper recession. Now pick your poison, or choose a combo of the two items with -10% discount of your net worth. |
Big Ben has been using inflation to fight for the phantom deflation for two years. And he decided yesterday to fight for two more years. 
| pompano : | ||
You didn't count in the deflation....
|
..
| xiaoqiang : | ||||
Big Ben has been using inflation to fight for the phantom deflation for two years. And he decided yesterday to fight for two more years.
|
跟布什一样，打下伊拉克再说，然后不知道exit strategy是什么。
That's a bit different. Bush is on offense to Iraq. Big bend is in defense, and making patches every where....
| 了因 : | ||||||
跟布什一样，打下伊拉克再说，然后不知道exit strategy是什么。 |
..
| pompano : | ||||||||
That's a bit different. Bush is on offense to Iraq. Big bend is in defense, and making patches every where....
|
只有bit差别这就对了。因为开场的时候看起来热闹的景象不同，到最后收场的时候就手忙脚乱，没有什么差别了。
Today the market has reached the top for this year.
Time to sell.
Time to sell.
Had similar feeling. The volume is very low. let's see what happens on Monday!
| xiaoqiang : |
| Today the market has reached the top for this year.
Time to sell. |
Unfortunately, none of you are powerful enough to affect the market.
While big Ben is in such a position.
没有变法的事情，人做庄家，俺们屁民当猴，只能被耍
While big Ben is in such a position.
没有变法的事情，人做庄家，俺们屁民当猴，只能被耍
..
I do not know what you are talking about!
..
Predicting the market day by day is a losing game.
| pompano : | ||
Had similar feeling. The volume is very low. let's see what happens on Monday!
|
Big Ben is doing a great service to people like me. Actually he has been doing a great service to this country.
But central planning always fail. There will be always unexpected events that escape his grand scheme.
But central planning always fail. There will be always unexpected events that escape his grand scheme.
| Bono : |
| Unfortunately, none of you are powerful enough to affect the market.
While big Ben is in such a position. 没有变法的事情，人做庄家，俺们屁民当猴，只能被耍 |
I guess you get super low Mortgage rate!!
| xiaoqiang : | ||
| Big Ben is doing a great service to people like me. Actually he has been doing a great service to this country.
But central planning always fail. There will be always unexpected events that escape his grand scheme.
|
..
I did not benefit much from the recent market rally because of my bearish view.
US market had an amazing rally!
US market had an amazing rally!
| xiaoqiang : | ||||
Predicting the market day by day is a losing game.
|
| Bono : | ||||||
| I did not benefit much from the recent market rally because of my bearish view.
US market had an amazing rally!
|
不是我说你呀，圈养的猫，想要牛气，哪那么容易的呢。装个熊样估计还差不多，很cute的样子，就象你bono兄常爱贴的那样子，主人才喜欢。
现在 market 的 dynamic 还是没有变: Big Ben the Beard Printer v.s. economic reality
所以现在 bear 和 bull 都比较 safe。
所以现在 bear 和 bull 都比较 safe。